So far the tropics haven't provided any convection worth chasing here in northern Virginia, altho' I did go out once or twice over the past couple of weeks to see what could be seen (which wasn't much). Given that we're now past the peak of hurricane season and that the overall weather pattern seems to be keeping any Atlantic hurricanes at bay I'm not sanguine about the chances for a tropically-flavored chase unless the Gulf of Mexico decides to become more active.
The next best setup would be a strong autumn cold front - or two - swooping down from the northwest to plow into a juicy airmass along the East Coast and fire up some chaseable storms. Based on past experience this is still a possibility at least until Veterans' Day (November) so there are a few weeks left for potential chase opportunities. But it's beginning to look like this year's storm chasing is mostly in the books, leaving it up to next spring to provide more convective excitement. That's why yesterday's meeting in Blacksburg regarding plans for the 2012 Virginia Tech stormchase was so important...it keeps the candle lit!
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