Yesterday's chase potential was significantly reduced once a backdoor front slid into the eastern half of Virginia during the early afternoon. Temperatures and instability both fell and shoved the convective potential to the Blue Ridge and points westward. The cells that fired there did so under conditions that weren't dynamic enough to entice me to travel toward Charlottesville for slow moving heavy rainers/hailers, altho' from radar indications I felt at least one cell just north of that city probably had a decent wall cloud under it.
Today looks a bit better for chaseable storms even tho' the overall shear isn't impressive. A lee trough should trigger convection further north and east and I'm counting on leftover outflow boundaries to provide a bit of low-level shear to help with storm development. We'll see how it all develops and whether I chase today.
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