Thursday chasing could be good!

Glad to see the SPC agrees with my analysis of tomorrow - Thursday - as a potential chase day! CAPE looks to be nearing 1000, and upper level winds approaching 50 knots should be enough to create reasonable convective havoc. The SPC text mentions the need to look for mesoscale (e.g. localized) features tomorrow that could influence the development of supercells out ahead of the cold front. That plays right into all the factors here east of the mountains and west of the Bay, so guess what I'll be trolling for tomorrow? Off the top of my head I'd say the probability of a severe TS watch covering our area tomorrow is pretty good, with the odds of a tornado watch being issued somewhat lower. Either way I think we'll see some rough weather tomorrow as the approaching cold front shoves aside the abnormally warm air mass and sends us back to more April-like conditions for the weekend. Keep an eye on the sky!!