Convection is getting closer to us! This is the forecast mixed layer CAPE (convective average potential energy) for next Friday afternoon, showing some instability in southeastern Virginia. Actually last night's model run had us under some instability, but this morning's run pushed it southward due to what looks like some cold air damming. Two things however: (1) It's getting closer to chase season! and (2) models can jump around a lot this far out. Can't wait!
Friday, March 05, 2010
CAPE encroachment
Convection is getting closer to us! This is the forecast mixed layer CAPE (convective average potential energy) for next Friday afternoon, showing some instability in southeastern Virginia. Actually last night's model run had us under some instability, but this morning's run pushed it southward due to what looks like some cold air damming. Two things however: (1) It's getting closer to chase season! and (2) models can jump around a lot this far out. Can't wait!
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