As I noted last year Veterans' Day provides an average end to the chase season here in northern Virginia. That's usually when a strong autumn cold front blows through and signals the entrance of a convective drought that lasts until roughly late March. This year may be a bit different, however, since November seems to have made its appearance several weeks early given the recent record cold we've experienced. But I won't give up all hope until November 11th has come and gone.
On another note I am working on an article that provides observations and a hypothesis regarding why we seem to have unexpected and undetected funnels and tornadoes in the Rappahannock River valley. That is keeping my evenings busy looking up data and trying to develop a sensible thematic approach to the whole topic. At an hour or two a pop this will take quite a while to assemble and edit before I'm willing to subject it to peer reviews.
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