Thursday afternoon / evening now looks more likely than Wednesday for thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic, which is good for me as I think I have that timeframe available for chasing. The instability (see above) will be in place, but the upper level winds are almost non-existent given that the jet stream is nearer the Canadian border than it should be for this time of year. (After all, today is the first day of astronomical autumn!) So if we do get thunderstorms they will likely be of the garden variety type with no severity, but given the paucity of chase opportunities since July I may just try my hand Thursday.
Tuesday, September 22, 2009
Thursday, not Wednesday
Thursday afternoon / evening now looks more likely than Wednesday for thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic, which is good for me as I think I have that timeframe available for chasing. The instability (see above) will be in place, but the upper level winds are almost non-existent given that the jet stream is nearer the Canadian border than it should be for this time of year. (After all, today is the first day of astronomical autumn!) So if we do get thunderstorms they will likely be of the garden variety type with no severity, but given the paucity of chase opportunities since July I may just try my hand Thursday.
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1 comments:
Hey man, hopefully you get something today...low level shear looks weak, but instability is there. Probably won't get a whole lot of midlevel winds either with that UL just hanging around here in KS, but it may eject a little piece off your way by dark.
Looks like the weekend after this one, things could get pretty interesting. Thanks for all of the blog comments. I see you picked another horrible time to chase again :( You should bank on the first week of June, there will be something somewhere!!
BTW, added your link to my blog, although I never get a whole lot of hits. Take care,
Dick
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