Monday, February 16, 2009

Upcoming weekend winter weather? Nope!


The models are diverging again this winter! One long term forecast (the GFS forecast for Saturday evening is above) shows an Alberta-clipper type storm bearing down on northern Virginia Saturday night into Sunday morning, dumping ~3 inches of snow on the region. The main competing model (the European model) shows nothing of the sort, with high pressure dominating the area. It looks like the National Weather Service has tossed out the GFS solution since the local forecast calls for both Saturday and Sunday to be mostly sunny with highs in the low 40's. It's getting to be pretty late in the season for us to see snow, altho' we have had significant accumulations from March nor'easters ('93 and'96 come to mind). Be that as it may, I'm now in the chasing countdown for early spring storms. Snow is definitely NOT on the agenda for chasing.

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